New Times/Siena polling of Michigan, Ohio, Wisconsin, and Nebraska's second district.

Harris leads by 1 point in Michigan.

Trump leads by only 6 points in Ohio (Trump won the state by 8 in 2020).

Harris leads by 2 points in Wisconsin.

And in Nebraska's second district, Harris leads by 9 points. I think we can safely put Nebraska's second district's 1 electoral vote in Harris' column. No electoral college ties in our future.

For the Senate races, Slotkin leads by 5 points. Republicans aren't spending at all in this race.

Brown leads by 4 points in Ohio. This is a must win Senate race for Democrats.

And Baldwin leads by 7 points in Wisconsin.

In Nebraska's second district, Vargas leads Bacon by 3 points. This is a crucial flip for the House majority for Democrats.

All in all, pretty good set of polls for Democrats.