bumblecat (78)in #immigrant • 11 hours agoAmerican voters often vote retrospectively as a referendum on the incumbent or the incumbent's party if the candidate is not the incumbent.I saw an interview with a man who came here illegally and he said he supports Trump because he thinks he will improve…bumblecat (78)in #politics • yesterdayForcing transparency on the government.I've said we're at the precipice of forcing transparency on the government, and that those in power want to hide and…bumblecat (78)in #netflix • 3 days agoBrand new cherry flavour.This show threw a lot at the wall and not all of it stuck. It wore its influences on its sleeve and didn't quite…bumblecat (78)in #trump • 4 days agoTrump's first selections don't leave a lot of optimism about his Administration.When Stefanik first started out in the House she was a relative moderate, but then she turned sharply to the right to…bumblecat (78)in #harris • 4 days agoHow you do anything is how you do everything.My thought is that we shouldn’t have candidates or vote for people who don’t have decades of experience hiring…bumblecat (78)in #economy • 5 days agoReal wages (adjusted for inflation) grew at similar rates under both Administrations.Seeing a lot of otherwise smart people sharing this graphic. But it is affected by compositional effects in 2020…bumblecat (78)in #trump • 6 days agoThe media and Democratic perception of Trump abortion policy.This was posted on October 1st, yet Kamala's campaign and the media machine said he would take this right away. JD…bumblecat (78)in #election • 7 days agoWhy am I not upset about the election results?Because I expected them. Why did I expect them? Because most people don't live in this reality. They live in a…bumblecat (78)in #fed • 7 days agoThe Fed and Trump.Technically the FOMC chair is different than the chair of the Board of Governors. Jerome Powell holds both…bumblecat (78)in #election • 8 days agoPolling cross tabs exit polls.Courtesy of Adam Carlson, how the polling cross tabs compared to exit polls. Huge caveat here that exit polls are…bumblecat (78)in #politics • 10 days agoA good reason to tune out early results.This is also a big reason to tune out the early results from places like Florida. If you'll recall everyone had a…bumblecat (78)in #nate • 11 days agoHere's what a uniform normal polling error would look like for either candidate according to Nate Silver's current polling averages.So yeah, we could very well see a 7 battleground state sweep by either candidate. Typically polling error is…bumblecat (78)in #nate • 11 days agoNate Silver had this map in his latest post.It is really dumb when you actually look into it. The map purports to show cumulative inflation since January 2021.…bumblecat (78)in #diversity • 13 days agoDEI certification.I think I'm just gonna go ahead and get DEI certified by OSHA to make a point. It's only $39, and they're saying…bumblecat (78)in #new • 13 days agoNew Noble Predictive Insights poll of Arizona.Conducted from October 28–30. A 5 point gap between the Presidential race and Senate race seems a lot more realistic…bumblecat (78)in #gallup • 15 days agoThe Gallup Economic Confidence Index is at -26.Albeit it has rebounded considerably from its low in 2022. But we've known for awhile this is a good environment for…bumblecat (78)in #virginia • 16 days agoWhat a joke of a Supreme Court.The Court granted a stay of the district court order that would have reinstated voters purged from the Virginia voter…bumblecat (78)in #policy • 16 days agoShips in the US.There is a law in these United States that says that, in order for any ship to travel from any port to another while…bumblecat (78)in #trump • 17 days agoThis literally happened with the Trump campaign.The campaign vetted the set of the "comedian" who said Black people "carve watermelons" for Halloween, that Puerto…bumblecat (78)in #baseball • 18 days agoThis is amazing.In over a century of World Series, hundreds of games, nobody has done this before. And to heighten the drama, it came…