RE: Yes! Potions do work: My results with the Brilliant Alchemy Potion
Great insights, thank you for sharing! Can I just comment on a couple of points...?
That's 182,000 DECs worth of profit from the 25,000 DEC Tokens spent!
If the potions double your chances, you would arguable have got half of that anyway. So 207k / 2 = 103.5 - 25k = 78.5k profit! Still really amazing, btw!
However, there doesn't seem to be any rhyme or reason for the drops.
That's expected variance for what is still a relatively small sample.
How many Legendaries did you open? Your results imply that 0.4% of your drops were gold legendaries, so statistically you could have 2 more (although the sample size is tiny). If you got gold on half of your legendaries (with only 4% chance on each) that's incredibly lucky!
... and explains most of the profitability. Would your outcome have been profitable still if you didn't get any gold Legendaries?
Hi there! Thanks for pointing out those nuances about the 50% increased rewards. I forgot to factor that in when calculating for profit. I might edit the post later for that. Lol!
I actually opened a total of 7 Legendary cards. Out of the seven, 2 turned out gold and 5 were just regular Legendaries. So, 1.4% were Legendary, of which 28% turned gold.
I'm not sure what conclusions to draw from that, to be honest. Although I find it interesting to get those Legendary Cards even without the potion. This is actually why it makes me wonder if I just happened to be especially lucky that day and the potion being active had nothing to do with it. Or which gold cards turned out gold because of the potion, and which ones would have been gold regardless. I mean when it comes to actions like revealing cards or flipping something in games there's always an element of luck.
As for the profitability, since I only spent 25,000 DECs on potions in total, then I have a wide margin. The Epic Gold Card from the Orb should cover my expenses with at least 5,000 DECs as profit. So, while the Gold Legendaries really increased my profits by a mile, it's not entirely dependent on it.