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RE: OSINT Day Four - Mandalay Bay Casino Shooting

but WHO did it benefit?

More than one answer here:

  • ISIS propaganda
  • antifa propganda
  • gun control propaganda
  • I've even seen the claim that a metal detector company would benefit

physical evidence and analysis is akin to the magician's wand

they can be; staged, counterfieited, manufactored.

that's why it's important to keep everything in mind as a possibility, not just the things we want to believe

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Exactly @stevescoins. It's so easy to get caught up in what we want to see... our own confirmation bias that is truly is best to take in information, synthesize what you can, spin out theories with minimal bias and iterate on that process as new information comes in.

This is going to be a nightmare because you have to factor in government incompetence as part of the disinformation campaign.

and you can have all of the above, to make it more complicated.

  • incompetence on the line level
  • subversion in command channels
  • covering up either possibility at the top
  • deliberate political misinformation (the democrats and their dancing monkeys in the news)
  • everybody on the net with their own pet theory

It really could come down to the fact the guy was just a nut

Yup... but I sincerely doubt that it is that simple. That's what my confirmation bias is telling me. :)

Whether these types of events are organic or synthetic is largely immaterial - if not completely undiscoverable - at this point. Simulacra and Simulation.

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