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RE: England must press home their advantage
I think the one thing you forgot is Starc has had a rest now and is sure to return to strengthen their bowling line up as well. He is always good for a few wickets early on and I am sure they will rest Siddle.
I was initially surprised that he hasn't played already but there were some interesting stats about him doing the rounds recently. From memory, I heard one that over the last year he is averaging 58 with the ball against top 6 batsmen and going at over 4 an over. Look at his stats in that time in general it's only Sri Lanka that he's been successful against and that's not realy saying much.
While he has great wicket-taking abilities I think Australia relise that in a 4 man attack it's a big risk to play him as he does leak runs and he is injury prone.
Cummins is the premier fast bowler and an automatic pick, Hazlewood bowled well in the first innings at Lord's and I though Pattinson was Australia's best bowler in the first innings at Edgbaston. Siddle is the work horse, again in a 4 man attack you might need someone to bowl long steady spells and Starc isn't going to give you that. It's difficult to see whose position he'd take.
Away from the quicks I've bet on Nathan Lyon to be the leading wicket taker @7.5, I think it'll be a fairly dry flat pitch which will take spin quite early on and so that's decent price in my mind