#pollingUnmoderated tagAll postsTrending CommunitiesSteemitCryptoAcademyNewcomers' Communityআমার বাংলা ব্লগKorea • 한국 • KR • KOSTEEM CN/中文Steem AllianceWORLD OF XPILARAVLE 일상Beauty of CreativityItalySteem POD TeamComunidad LatinaExplore Communities...#pollingTrendingHotNewPayoutsMutedpomeline (79)in #polling • 2 months agoTake this poll with a huge grain of salt.I've never heard of the Center for Strategic Politics before and they used the opt-in online pollster Pollfish. I'd…bumblecat (78)in #post • 3 months agoAnother new Navigator post mortem election poll.Trump far and away ahead of Harris on the top 3 issues to voters: inflation, immigration, and the economy. Inflation…zafrada (78)in #ukraine • 3 months agoNew Gallup polling of Ukrainians.Zelensky's approval among Ukrainians is now at 60% in new Gallup polling. Honestly considering Ukrainian society…zafrada (78)in #ukraine • 3 months agoCoverage of the Gallup poll on Ukrainians has been pretty lousy.According to Gallup's own poll, only 27% of Ukrainians are open to territorial concessions to end the war. This…pomeline (79)in #polling • 3 months agoConsumer sentiment has a huge partisan bias component based on who is in the White House.Fun thing with a high frequency online pollster like Morning Consult is you can see this flip literally occur because…bumblecat (78)in #election • 4 months agoPolling cross tabs exit polls.Courtesy of Adam Carlson, how the polling cross tabs compared to exit polls. Huge caveat here that exit polls are…bumblecat (78)in #nate • 4 months agoHere's what a uniform normal polling error would look like for either candidate according to Nate Silver's current polling averages.So yeah, we could very well see a 7 battleground state sweep by either candidate. Typically polling error is…pomeline (79)in #marist • 4 months agoFinal Marist national poll.I think that's about it for high quality polls. Harris up 4 points among likely voters. 51% vote share. That 47% for…zafrada (78)in #black • 4 months agoBlack Voter Project polling.This recontact polling from the Black Voter Project shows Black voters coming home to Kamala Harris over time as…pomeline (79)in #nate • 4 months agoGood Nate Silver piece on pollsters potentially "herding" this cycle.In other words, releasing results that are similar to others. Small quibble though- polling violates the central…bumblecat (78)in #new • 4 months agoNew Noble Predictive Insights poll of Arizona.Conducted from October 28–30. A 5 point gap between the Presidential race and Senate race seems a lot more realistic…arbitration (78)in #election • 4 months agoClose but not hopeless.Yes, it somehow really is this close, despite the rally with the creepy "MASS DEPORTATION NOW" signs, the talk of…leguna (78)in #election • 4 months agoNew poll from Arab News Research/YouGov of Arab Americans.Fairly similar to the Arab American Institute's polling of this group with both candidates getting around ~40%.…pomeline (79)in #election • 4 months agoIt is close either way, but yeah don't let doomerism take hold because of 1-2 point shifts.I imagine that's part of the whole angle of these Republican pollsters. Stoke Republican turnout and make Democrats…pomeline (79)in #election • 4 months agoAll 7 battlegrounds are well within average polling error.Also Florida is within a 2016 and 2020 sized error. And 8 Senate races are well within normal Senate polling error.…leguna (78)in #nyt • 4 months agoThis is a great New York Times piece on polling error and bias.As you can see polling error can go both ways. Even in the same election, polls have underestimated both candidates…pomeline (79)in #senate • 4 months agoHere are where the Senate and House election forecasts stand.Race to the White House: Senate: Republicans with a 62.5% chance of taking the Senate. House: Democrats with a 64.2%…zafrada (78)in #nebraska • 4 months agoThe Nebraska Senate race is only separated by a point in the polling.If Osborn wins it could be an interesting Senate balance. He's running as an independent and it is unclear who he will…zafrada (78)in #times • 4 months agoHere is the Times/Siena polling of Hispanic voters.Pretty close to Pew's polling of Hispanics. Some slippage from prior years, but not as much as other polling. Trump…bumblecat (78)in #election • 4 months agoSubgroup polling.Good charts for seeing how subgroup polling can often be quite off from the actual election results (polling is…
