#forecastUnmoderated tagAll postsTrending CommunitiesSteemitCryptoAcademyNewcomers' Communityআমার বাংলা ব্লগKorea • 한국 • KR • KOSTEEM CN/中文Steem AllianceWORLD OF XPILARAVLE 일상Beauty of CreativitySteem POD TeamItalySCT.암호화폐.CryptoExplore Communities...#forecastTrendingHotNewPayoutsMutedo1eh (79)Author | Delegate [10000] 🇺🇦 ⭐in Ukraine on Steem • 2 months agoЯким буде 2025 рік?Чого мене навчив досвід, так це того, що будь-які прогнози є неточними і абсолютно безглуздими. Втім людям властиво…leguna (78)in #election • 4 months agoHere are where the Senate and House forecasts stand.A lot more divergence in the models than the presidential race. Generally speaking Democrats are not favored to keep…zafrada (78)in #election • 4 months agoFinal election forecast check-in.The models have it as a pure toss-up. All 7 battleground states are well within striking distance for either…zafrada (78)in #us • 4 months agoGDPNow forecast.Final GDPNow nowcast estimates third quarter GDP will come in at a robust 3.3%. The actual release will be on the…arbitration (78)in #election • 4 months agoClose but not hopeless.Yes, it somehow really is this close, despite the rally with the creepy "MASS DEPORTATION NOW" signs, the talk of…pomeline (79)in #fivethirtyeight • 4 months agoFiveThirtyEight's Senate forecast is now live.More bearish on Democrats than the other Senate models. The model expects Republicans to get ~51-52 seats with…zafrada (78)in #election • 4 months agoLatest model probabilities from Split Ticket's forecasting.The Presidency and the House are basically pure toss-ups. As they note given race correlations, the winner of the…zafrada (78)in #election • 4 months agoThe Economist's Senate forecast.A year ago if you told me the Senate majority was still in play I'd have been deeply skeptical. The 2024 Senate map…arbitration (78)in #fivethirtyeight • 5 months agoFiveThirtyEight's House forecast is now live.Their initial forecast has it as a literal coin toss. Only 9 seats are rated as toss-ups. Only 27 seats are rated…solarshutdown (62)in #hurricane • 5 months agoHurricane Milton Is The First Hurricane To Hit Tampa In 103 Years - X Flare Alert - Sun Diving CometLee County officials urge those in evacuation zones to leave by tonight Hurricane Milton remains Category 5 storm;…zafrada (78)in #election • 5 months agoHere is an update on all the election forecasts.The Economist: Harris with a ~60% chance. FiveThirtyEight: Harris with a 58% chance. Nate Silver: Harris with a…zafrada (78)in #split • 5 months agoSplit Ticket's election forecast updates.Harris with 57% chance to win the presidency. Republicans with a 79% chance to take the Senate. And Democrats with a…solarshutdown (62)in #hurricane • 5 months agoHurricane Helene: Models show path toward Florida panhandle, state of emergency and evacuationsModels show path toward Florida panhandle, leading to state of emergency and evacuations HURRICANE HELENE…pomeline (79)in #split • 5 months agoThe folks at Split Ticket released their presidential forecast.Wonderful! Their initial forecast has Harris with a 62% chance of winning. They have Wisconsin and Michigan as…zafrada (78)in #election • 6 months agoDont trust election models.This is a good piece. I think election models can be useful for trends and to add color to the uncertainty inherent…pomeline (79)in #politics • 6 months agoHere's Decision Desk's Senate forecast.Currently the model expects Republicans to win the Senate at 70% with 52 seats to 48 seats. The model forecasts a…leguna (78)in #fivethirtyeight • 6 months agoFiveThirtyEight explaining their election forecast model changes.They simplified it so it is easier to understand. Instead of a full Bayesian model, they are running a polling…zafrada (78)in #election • 6 months agoDecisions desk forecast.Decision Desk has relaunched its election forecast now that Harris is the nominee. They forecast Harris with a 56%…pomeline (79)in #election • 6 months agoHere is Race to the White House's election forecast.They have Harris with a 55% chance of winning. They have Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, and…pomeline (79)in #harris • 6 months agoFiveThirtyEight's election forecast is now back online with Harris in the race.They forecast she has a 58% chance of winning the election. FiveThirtyEight believes Pennsylvania, North Carolina…
