FiveThirtyEight's Senate forecast is now live.

More bearish on Democrats than the other Senate models.

The model expects Republicans to get ~51-52 seats with Montana flipping and possibly Ohio.

Their model is quite bearish on Dan Osborn's chances in Nebraska.

Ohio they have rated as a toss-up.

They are bearish on Montana, Florida, and Texas. They give Allred the highest chance of those three.

Their forecast randomizes who the independent Dan Osborn caucuses with fwiw.