You are viewing a single comment's thread from:
RE: 6/21/17 Update on the queen of the VIXens (VIX)
SVXY is "probably" going to trade back up to $163+ one more time before yesterday's 159.06 low gets taken out. Now at 161.04. If it does a very good short term trade might materialize in either the Q's short or just the FB short I posted yesterday at the Greg Bananarino "truth in disclosure" blog. I would likely up that bet at least.."if" SVXY does trade thru 163.00 first.
Imo there should be no new short entry (in general) into the Q's, SPY, etc unless SVXY trades back up to $163+ and if that even happens a bet long the VIX would likely be a big short term paycheck also. I don't see a trade in teh VIX coming until at least late afternoon. Nothing EVER gets started on a Th morning. It's kind of my "day off" from Mr Market each week. But make no mistake, be on the wrong side of this beitch and she will rock your world.
http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/advchart/frames/frames.asp?show=&insttype=&symb=vix&x=61&y=15&time=18&startdate=1%2F4%2F1999&enddate=6%2F12%2F2017&freq=7&compidx=aaaaa%3A0&comptemptext=&comp=none&ma=0&maval=9&uf=0&lf=1024&lf2=2&lf3=8&type=2&style=320&size=4&timeFrameToggle=false&compareToToggle=false&indicatorsToggle=false&chartStyleToggle=false&state=11
6/22/17 Afternoon VIX update: SVXY did in fact trade thru 163.00. To trade the Q's here it would definitely be a gamble but the downside to at least 140.10ish is "assured" so a play towards next week's expiry would work. Let's check the premium for a target of 140 with the Q's now trading at 141.07 bid. The $140 puts are at .74 bid and that's at least "reasonable." So for fun let's log in 2 at teh current .74 market. We'll call it .75 for a $150 bet that the Q's see 140.00 by July 8th. Q's would actually have to see 139.25 to break even but if the drop happens quickly this trade should double. No proper buy signal came in so I'm not a playa on thisn. None of ye should be either. If you can't understand what I just told you then go follow Greg Bananarino...he at least thinks he knows what he's saying but he definitely knows what you are thinking. OK, 2 QQQ 7/8 expiry $140P at .75ea. Let's see what happens next.
http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/advchart/frames/frames.asp?show=&insttype=&symb=qqq&x=52&y=8&time=18&startdate=1%2F4%2F1999&enddate=6%2F12%2F2017&freq=7&compidx=aaaaa%3A0&comptemptext=&comp=none&ma=0&maval=9&uf=0&lf=1024&lf2=2&lf3=8&type=2&style=320&size=4&timeFrameToggle=false&compareToToggle=false&indicatorsToggle=false&chartStyleToggle=false&state=11