1920 to 2020: A 100 year Bubble?
The American economy has been at a steady run-up since the 1980's and is growing at an unsustainable pace. Those of us who keep our eyes on the markets see bubbles all the time. We see them on an hourly, daily, weekly and monthly basis. Market patterns are the same whether you are looking at Crypto or the DOW and Nasdaq. Many of the patterns on a minute to minute scale are the exact same patterns you see in the overall market over the course of months and years. The behavior of the markets is somewhat predictable.
I have been watching the markets on a daily, hourly and many times minute-by-minute basis over the last year. Many people laughed at me when I predicted Bitcoin would fall from 20k to 6k. And then it happened. My interest is largely in studying and understanding predictable market patterns. I'm far from an expert. I don't claim to be an economist. I'm an amateur for sure. But a passionate one at the very least.
My wife and I were sitting in the kitchen eating dinner tonight and talking about market patterns. We became curious about the overall life trend of the DOW as a whole. After pulling up a graph of the market from it's founding in 1915, I saw a pattern I couldn't ignore. If nothing else, it's intriguing. I made a parallel of the first 30 years of the DOW beside the previous 40 years of the DOW.
I've been hearing about the 1980 bubble my whole life. But look at it. It's a blip. And we should all remember the 2008 bubble. It was quite a bit bigger. Here's my question... and I know many will laugh at this.
Are we looking at a significant crash around 2020-2021? A crash that could rival the crash of the Great Depression? The patterns are the same as the minor bubbles I see everyday on the Crypto and Stock market charts. See for yourself.
The green arrow and red downward lines on the current chart are my projections. Thanks for checking out our post. We would love to see this spur on some educated and well-informed discussion.
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I’d love to see an updated diagram now, in light of the latest events...