#15 Georgia at #24 Notre Dame Betting Preview

Georgia travels to South Bend to take on the #24 ranked FIghting Irish of Notre Dame tonight. Georgia lost their starting QB last week, and will be bringing in Freshman Jake Fromm to handle the offense. Jake came in last week against Appalachian State and was a respectable 10/15 for 143 yards, 1 TD, and 0 INT.

The line has been fluent all week going from Notre Dame -6 to -4 to -6 to -4 at 5 Dimes Sportsbook as seen in the table below.

TIME	UGA	ND
09/09 12:39 PM	+4 -105	-4 -105
09/09 11:57 AM	+4½ -108	-4½ -102
09/09 11:30 AM	+4½ -105	-4½ -105
09/09 10:07 AM	+5 -108	-5 -102
09/09 08:59 AM	+5 -105	-5 -105
09/09 07:41 AM	+5 -109	-5 -101
09/09 06:27 AM	+5 -107	-5 -103
09/08 10:45 PM	+5½ -107	-5½ -103
09/08 10:24 PM	+5½ -105	-5½ -105
09/08 08:54 PM	+5½ -110	-5½ -110
09/08 05:32 PM	+6 -110	-6 -110
09/08 02:57 PM	+7 -135	-7 +115
09/08 02:52 PM	+5½ -110	-5½ -110
09/08 08:36 AM	+5 -110	-5 -110
09/07 09:33 PM	+5½ -110	-5½ -110
09/07 09:02 PM	+4 -110	-4 -110
09/07 11:56 AM	+4½ -110	-4½ -110
09/06 08:21 AM	+4 -110	-4 -110
09/05 06:20 PM	+4½ -110	-4½ -110
09/05 04:10 PM	+4 -110	-4 -110
09/05 08:37 AM	+4½ -110	-4½ -110
09/05 08:18 AM	+5 -110	-5 -110
09/05 07:49 AM	+5½ -110	-5½ -110
09/04 08:30 PM	+6 -110	-6 -110
09/04 12:13 PM	+6½ -110	-6½ -110

The total has also steadily climbed.

TIME	OVER	UNDER
09/09 11:36 AM	58 -102	58 -108
09/09 08:40 AM	58 -105	58 -105
09/09 06:26 AM	58½ -105	58½ -105
09/08 10:45 PM	58½ -103	58½ -107
09/08 10:35 PM	58½ -104	58½ -106
09/08 10:24 PM	58½ -107	58½ -103
09/08 10:12 PM	58½ -110	58½ -110
09/08 12:01 PM	57 -110	57 -110
09/07 06:43 PM	56½ -110	56½ -110
09/07 06:34 PM	57 -110	57 -110
09/07 11:09 AM	57½ -110	57½ -110
09/07 09:34 AM	57 -110	57 -110
09/06 12:35 PM	57½ -110	57½ -110
09/06 12:34 PM	58 -110	58 -110
09/06 12:06 PM	57 -110	57 -110
09/06 08:21 AM	55½ -110	55½ -110
09/06 12:54 AM	56 -110	56 -110
09/05 10:40 PM	55½ -110	55½ -110
09/05 10:16 PM	54 -110	54 -110
09/05 09:52 PM	53 -110	53 -110
09/05 10:15 AM	53½ -110	53½ -110
09/05 10:14 AM	53 -110	53 -110
09/05 10:14 AM	52½ -110	52½ -110
09/05 10:13 AM	53½ -110	53½ -110
09/05 10:09 AM	53 -110	53 -110
09/05 10:07 AM	52½ -110	52½ -110
09/05 10:07 AM	53½ -110	53½ -110
09/05 10:06 AM	54 -110	54 -110
09/05 01:39 AM	55 -110	55 -110
09/04 10:58 PM	54½ -110	54½ -110
09/04 08:28 PM	55 -110	55 -110
09/04 04:11 PM	53½ -110	53½ -110

As mentioned earlier, Georgia lost their QB to injury, here is a recap of all the injuries on both sides:
Georgia

Date	Pos	Player	Injury	Status
09/09/17	WR	Riley Ridley	Suspension Served	missed last game, probable Saturday vs. Notre Dame
09/05/17	DB	Aaron Davis	Hamstring	injured last game, is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Notre Dame
09/05/17	OL	Solomon Kindley	Ankle	is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Notre Dame
09/04/17	QB	Jacob Eason	Ankle	out indefinitely
09/04/17	QB	Jake Fromm	None	expected to start Saturday vs. Notre Dame
09/03/17	CB	Malkom Parrish	Foot	doubtful Saturday vs. Notre Dame

Notre Dame

Date	Pos	Player	Injury	Status
09/06/17	S	Alohi Gilman	Eligibility	out for season
09/06/17	TE	Durham Smythe	Concussion	injured last game, probable Saturday vs. Georgia
09/04/17	DL	Micah Dew-Treadway	Knee	missed last game, probable Saturday vs. Georgia
09/02/17	DL	Elijah Taylor	Foot	"?" Saturday vs. Georgia

Analysis:
* 61% of bets coming in are on the under. The total has climbed from 53.5 to 58 over the course of the week.
* 65% of the bets coming in are on Georgia, the line has followed the number of bets coming in and dropped to even things out.
* If you like betting overs, there may be some meat left on the bone as sharp money has driven the total up to 58. Problem is they may have bet the value out of the number.
* Game will ultimately come down to can Georgia's Frosh QB handle the pressure of starting in fabled South Bend, or will he fold like a cheap lawn chair. I lean UGA, but road game against the Irish will not be easy. If you are going to bet, take the points with UGA. See no value in a Notre Dame play.

I am rolling with the over, counting on some value left after sharps moved the number so much earlier in week. Put a small fraction of some bitcoin on it, Nitrogen Sports Betting Slip. Fade or follow, up to you. A good fade is just as valuable as a good follow.