Good piece by Split Ticket on how early voting can be very misleading.

The voting patterns have changed, so there is a lot more uncertainty with early voting this year than most people are acknowledging.

FiveThirtyEight had a good piece on this awhile back as well. The voting patterns changed during the Midterms, and a lot of dudes that were using 2020 early voting patterns for 2022 got burned.

Republicans have heavily pushed early voting this cycle from top to bottom.