Strategy on live bets on The International 2019
Today was the first day of closed qualifiers at The International 2019 and I spent the whole day watching live in the CIS region. Today there were a huge number of comebacks, caught a lot of 2.5+ odds. Stat per day 36 WIN 12 LOOSE, with an ROI of 286%. Great stat for the day.
Why I love the CIS region? Because the team has the same level and they are constantly throwing games.
What do we need:
- Match broadcast (DotaTV or any other Twitch broadcast)
- Bookmaker (in order to be able to make the most profitable bet, it often happened on PinnacleSports odds 3.2, and GGbet 2.7, and next time the opposite)
- Matches suitable for certain scenarios:
The first scenario of the games we are looking for: Team A loses the game (0-10 minutes), but has good late core-heroes (Morph, Spectre, AM, TB, WK, etc.) and after 10 minutes usually odds ~ 2.5-4.5. With proper selection of the game, the permeability is about 30-50% and this is more than enough at a distance to make it profitable.
The second scenario of the game: Team A loses early game and has a good mass of fighting potential (Enigma, Warlock, a bunch of Doom + Grimstroke, etc.). Here we are waiting for the peak odds (but in this case it is lower, 2-3.5) and load it.
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