Propane and Onion Shortages, The Effects

This video was originally published 20/11/2019

A record 3rd Arctic blast during Autumn of 2019 shows the shift in jet streams has stretched its influence from the Arctic to the Gulf of Mexico. Dumping record snow in Midwest grow belts, as well as Canada’s early freezer. A really wet harvest season is expected and since a lot of excess field moisture is present in corn, as well as in wheat, propane is needed in the drying process.

Then suddenly, nine Midwest states declared emergencies because of regional propane shortages.

These shortages are indeed serious, to the point where some senators are echoing their concerns expressed throughout the industry regarding this emergency in the U.S. farms, because crops must be dried from out of season early snowfall.

This originally started as a propane scarcity supply in Iowa, then Minnesota, and Wisconsin. Now, it has started to fill the airwaves.

Kansas resonated the same emergency, followed by Missouri, and then now, all the Midwest. So why did they have these “sudden” propane shortages?

On top of that, Iowa found itself in the mix as retailers cut farmers back to as little as 30% of their needed allocation, and some drivers had been waiting 6–12 hours. This drove up the cost of an already incredibly dismal harvest season.

Through the last couple of days, demand still outstrips supply to something in the exponential range. Analysts are still pegging it to the extreme cold all the way down to the Gulf of Mexico and the increased need to dry the crops, for now the fourth year in a row.

This has resulted in approximately 36% total unharvested acres, because farmers chose to leave their crops to dry in the field, rather than try to harvest, then wait for a chance to get the grains through a dryer using propane. So, they are leaving the fate of their crops to nature. The problem is, what if another storm hits or massive rains return in spring. How will the USDA adjust for the positive yield error?

Moreover, this is one thing I want to point out, “Iowa’s Wet Grain and the Propane Shortage”. The general corn quality in 2019 is below average due to record late planting, thus the immaturity of the grains. This means that kernels are still incredibly small, for both wheat and corn this year because plants didn’t have enough time to grow and mature. Since there is no standard kernel size of what goes through the dryers, some will be completely dried while others have pockets that are still wet.

This is similar to roasting coffee beans; you will not be mixing pea berry beans to regular Arabica coffee beans because of their difference in size. If you do, some of the beans will be burned while others are still going through the roasting process. Maybe experts should explain what will happen if you put wet corn inside a bin or a silo, for the information of the public. I’m sure we are familiar with ergot on rye, but what about corn, or wheat?

In like manner, waiting for grain dryers also happening in North Dakota, so some corn harvests are stalled due to lack of propane to dry crops. According to a retailer, they were 10 semi-loads behind and priority will be given to hospitals, churches, schools, businesses and residences. And, if any propane is left, that will be given to farmers for crop drying. This for me, is a distorted order of priorities. Do you mean food is the least important of the list in our lives? For now, food shortages are not yet shocking our society, but wait until 2021.

But seriously, how prepared are you for food shortages? Are you storing some food for the future? Anyhow, this is mind boggling. Propane prices are lower than last year, even with eight states declaring shortages and restricting crop harvesting process this year in the United States, how can prices remain lower than last year? This, for me, is a pure artificial market manipulation and artificial shortages in these areas.

I feel that this is purposeful to further reduce food output in the United States and I have my own assessment of what is going on. Why are our crops so dismal; why is there no forthcoming help; and why do prices remain stagnant or below last year’s levels, with all these record losses, bottlenecks and shortages?

Meanwhile, onion prices in India doubling within just a week. People are protesting in the streets because of onion price hikes, as a consequence of onion shortages across the country. In order to mitigate this problem and pacify citizens, the Modi government instantly throws on an export ban, which they call a ‘knee-jerk’ reaction to prevent civil unrest.

The culprit in this onion shortage is the excessive rainfall during the growing season, so India is being affected as well with agricultural struggles now noticeable across the planet due to the shifting Intertropical Convergence Zone ((ITCZ) the intensifying Grand Solar Minimum. Plus, the wandering jet streams resulting in cloud cells moving in new places across continents.

We are now facing a very serious conundrum. If your food prices increase 8% per month, then prices are going to double at the end of the year, at the very least. What would you stop spending on first?

Neighboring country Bangladesh gets 60% of their onion imports from India. So with the full-on cut off, only 40% is available for demand in Bangladesh. Guess what, the same things are going on there, people are out on the streets demanding onions. What will happen if it’s a shortage for meat and everything else you eat? Do you really think our society will maintain its stability?

If you are looking for ideas for long-term food storage, such as canning, packing and dehydrating visit my Amazon links.

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*** Today’s Story Links ***

India: Modi government's onion export ban a 'knee-jerk' reaction
https://www.dw.com/en/india-modi-governments-onion-export-ban-a-knee-jerk-reaction/a-50643584
Soaring Indian onion prices raise risk of political fallout
https://newstoday.com.bd/index.php?option=details&news_id=2548756&date=2019-11-16 Food inflation India
https://www.hindustantimes.com/search?q=onions
Liquid Propane Bottleneck Cripples Drying Capacity
https://www.agprofessional.com/article/liquid-propane-bottleneck-cripples-drying-capacity
Propane problems
https://www.agprofessional.com/search?keyword=propane
Iowa Corn: Wet Grain and the Propane Shortage
https://agfax.com/2019/11/14/iowa-cor...
Harvest Complication: Propane Demand Outstrips Supply
https://agfax.com/2019/11/19/harvest-...

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