RE: Guaranteed Profit
"The crisis isn't arising from a conspiracy but some messed up ideology. The elites are merely feeding off of the opportunity."
I doubt that very much. When I was a kid, local cops killed a cocaine smuggler and then the only source of cocaine on the island was the cops. I learned early that effective intelligence is easily translated into illicit profits by unscrupulous thugs. All they had to do to make that happen was to let him know they wouldn't give him trouble for smuggling in cocaine.
Well, and then kill him and sell the blow out of their squad cars.
The mechanisms here are far too profitable and require too much planning to simply happen by accident. I dunno if you've read it, but 'War is a Racket' by Smedley Butler lays out the case for this in a concise pamphlet.
Thanks!
I had head about Smedley Butler some time ago. After you mentioned him I read about him for 20 minutes. I agree with all his points and yours. But I'm not convinced of them as the primary reason. The primary reason is the invisible hand/ voluntary human action driven by "Chinthana" (roughly meanning ideology).
Take a look at the bid bots. If STEEM had a proper distribution as I've mentioned here: https://steemit.com/news/@vimukthi/the-initial-token-distribution-problem-of-steem-and-dan-talking-about-steem-2-0-on-eos-telegram-q-and-a We won't be seeing much of these bid bots. They are cashing on a market need. The situation was not orchestrated by anyone except for the invisible market forces arising out of existing context/events. The elites are not that smart. They just have more influence and connections. They are like Vultures. They seek the areas where misery happens and unlike real Vultures, politicians enhance this misery and profit from it. But they don't fully engineer it. Pouring oil to a fire is not as the same as lighting it up. That's why I'm making a clear distinction regarding primary and secondary reasons. The following clip sort of explains:
Bonus Fact: My Avatar Makishima Shougo is from the the anime Psycho-Pas which has the ending song named 名前のない怪物 (monster with no name) which is a reference to Johan Liebert from the anime Monster.
I reckon you're young yet. I've seen folks plan for chaos and profit, so while I'm extrapolating to fields that I've not experienced, they're not that dissimilar to those that I have observed. The testimony of Butler, John Stockwell, former CIA chief of station in Angola in the 1970s, in his book 'In Search of Enemies', my familiarity with the Chrystic Institute and the Cocaine Contras, all belabor the same point: that criminal conspiracies to profit from war are undertaken, and they're common. When I see EU governments fomenting ethnic hatred with brutal efficiency with such targeted utility for the proposed purpose of profiteering, I make the obvious connection.
Certainly people become capable of such gambits through initially taking advantage of opportunities that arise spontaneously, and that is how they learn to generate them, while continuing at all times to seize such advantages as appear.
I couldn't say I was competent to parse out proportionate contribution to their impact, or whether that's even the best metric to measure. I'm sure that what I propose conforms to the extant facts, and is consistent with historic methodologies I've observed over decades. Neither are these plans so complex as to require even subgenius to originate them.
Particularly for families that have been in the war profiteer business for generations, it's rather formulaic and simple, if very difficult to achieve, given the existential motivation of peoples to resist success.
YMMV. I guarantee as you gain more information, and continue processing it over decades, your understanding will change over time.
Mine has. That's all I can really be sure of.
Thanks!
Well I am in my early 20s. So I'm pretty young. I agree with all your points. But I believe these elites/families are still acting based on pre-selection. basically it's like picking up girls in a club. None of these people ca fully engineer a situation. Even the greatest PUA can be made to look like a looser with a change of location and types of girls present. There are too many variables involved and a global conspiracy would work as well as or slightly better than a centrally planned economy. Trump election is a great example of this. Even magazine covers were printed for the Hillary presidency. There is only so much control you have with pushing some buttons. Even Distributed Ledger Technology is a similar case. BTC price was very cleverly and methodically suppressed. At best we'd have another month of this suppression and before the end of the year, we could see 1 Trillion USD marketcap for cryptos.
I've seen armies of neurologists and psychologists analyzing multiplayer games and companies investing hundreds of millions of dollars with the intention of creating the next global mega-hit. The only time it worked in recent times was Blizzard's Overwatch. The rest failed and those that became global phenomenons were small developments that spontaneously and organically found success.
I fully agree with all your points except for successful generation of these kind of events. I'm not saying they aren't trying. They should be trying a lot. But I doubt they have even a 10% success rate in creating from scratch and maintaining a conspiracy like event.
BTW Confessions of an Economic Hit Man by John Perkins was a great read I randomly stumbled upon few years ago.
Thanks for the reply :-)
Lions on the Serengeti have a success rate. Not all of their attempts to take prey succeed. Most of the time they fail. They only need to succeed once a week or so.
The same with financial predators. It's like investing in ICOs. When a successful ICO produces several orders of magnitude gains, it becomes simply a numbers game, and investing in every ICO results in profit when but one percent of investments actually pans out.
The news is full of failed ops that are attempts to manufacture profitable business opportunities. They only need to succeed once a generation, and can fail an unlimited number of times between successes.
it's a numbers game in that regard.
Now this I totally agree with.