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RE: U.S. and Russia at the brink of war
I agree if anything will happen it won't be something intentional. at what point do you think things will boil over? If we do have a conflict with russia it won't be nuclear, I think it will be more of a shooting war
The trigger could be something along the lines of: a Russian fighter plane decides to be provocative and put a radar lock on a US plane, which has a nervous pilot that responds with a live missile. Or a Russian plane targets a US warship for a close flyby but miscalculates the altitude and kamikazes the ship instead. Such an event could start localized fighting, which I expect would quickly be brought under control once senior military leaders on each side realize what is happening.
My fear is that Putin could seize on such an incident as a pretext for some long planned strategic action such as a full invasion of Ukraine (figuring that since he got Crimea so easily he might as well take the whole country). It's unclear how NATO would respond in that case, but I doubt they would sit idly by and just watch.