Hamster Combat: tokenomics analysis
Tokenomics $HMSTR - total number of tokens 100 billion (100%):
60% — airdrop season 1 (of which 88.75% users will receive at TGE, the remaining 11.25% users will receive 10 months after TGE);
15% — airdrop season 2;
25% — liquidity, partnerships, grants, squad incentives, and other purposes.
$HMSTR token usage:
The team states that the $HMSTR token will go far beyond the game, powering multiple products in the Hamster ecosystem;
no specific use for the $HMSTR token at this time — users see no specific reason why they should hold onto the tokens.
Team tokens:
the team has stated that Hamster is a professional business. There is no need to sell team tokens here to pay the bills, as any average project does;
it turns out that the team assures that there will be no token sales on their part.
Future of the project:
the team plans to become a publishing ecosystem, also the team is considering providing multiple tokens through the Hamster ecosystem.
Positive factors:
the project has made a lot of money, and thus is able to keep the project functioning and growing and token retention up to par;
the project consulted an experienced market maker Gotbit, a professional team that may well support the launch of the $HMSTR token.
Negative factors:
negative influencers who claim they were not given the promised number of tokens;
huge number of users;
great fatigue of players from the game and their thirst to sell $HMSTR tokens quickly.
Difference in the price of $HMSTR token at the pre-market:
Bybit — price per 1 token $0.1;
OKX — price for 1 token $0.01.
The price difference is due to the fact that on Bybit the price is formed based on the fact that the total number of tokens is 10 billion, and on OKX — 100 billion, so the price difference is 10.
Therefore, the current price on the pre-market for 1 token is $0.01.
Let's consider 3 scenarios:
ideal: project capitalization of $2.00 billion -— at a price of $0.02 per 1 token;
normal: project capitalization of $1.00 billion - at a price of $0.01 per 1 token;
bad: project capitalization $0.5 billion - at a price of $0.005 per 1 token.
If we consider the launch of $NOT, $DOGS, $CATI tokens — we usually have a full capitalization of $0.8-1.00 billion at listing.
Therefore, it is quite logical to assume that we will see capitalization of $HMSTR token within $1 billion and a price of $0.01 at listing.
Could we see a higher price?
Yes, market maker Gotbit is a cunning and skillful team that may well show capitalization times higher than similar projects to make the news — we launched better than anyone else, even with this negativity.
Therefore, I admit that on TGE we may see capitalization of $HMSTR token in $2 billion and higher, and accordingly, the price of $0.02 and higher for 1 token.
I don't see a future specific use and application of the token, and yes most users will sell on TGE:
think about it, if airdrop on TGE turns out to be too small in $, who will play hamster season 2!
I have hardly played at all, I only have 700 $HMSTR tokens:)
Mates, do you believe hamster, will you continue to hold the $HMSTR token or sell on TGE?