Hello dear

Yes you are right that we can find Bitcoin halving event disadvantageous also sometimes in some cases as I have also describe some of the cases and secondly I'm hopeful that my prediction is about future would come true and would be at least nearer to what I say today in my predictions

In future there would be long lasting effect of this event because in past there was not a huge impact on steem but this time we can hope for it according to predictions

Yes it is very difficult to predict cryptocurrencies as they are very volatile but still we can have good guidance from technical analysis if we are doing them with right tools in right way