Have Humans Really "Used all the Resources for the Year?"

in #economics8 years ago

And this is why more journalists should learn basic economics: Motherboard weighs in with "Humans have used all the earth's resources for the year."

The article is worried because if the whole world consumes at developed rates we'd need "5 earths" to satisfy all that rampant consumerism.

Where to begin.

First, investment incentives. There are near-unlimited amounts of everything. The reason earth "produces" a given amount is because that's how much we want. If we want more, we'll produce more. It's a self-fixing problem. For example, we don't deep-sea oil drill because Indians and Nigerians are too poor to use that much oil. If India and Nigeria were Switzerland tomorrow, drillers would have the incentives to 5x, 10x, 50x production. Multiply this across every resources we use.

Second, technology. Whale blubber was the go-to fuel of the 19th century. How many "earths" of whale blubber do we need today? Answer: zero. We don't need it anymore -- some Eskimos eat it, I suspect Japanese throw it away. So even if hard limits were in sight, tech creates substitutes in direct proportion to how scarce the thing is. The price soars, and it becomes viable to do wacky things like pave the Sahara in solar. Again, multiply this by all the potential techs we could develop yet are not currently incentivized to develop.

To read the article under discussion: http://bit.ly/2aDLsnS
To read more from Peter: http://www.profitsofchaos.com

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"There are near-unlimited amounts of everything."

No, there isn't. At least not until we can start mining asteroids.

"The total mass of the asteroid belt is approximately 4% that of the Moon" from Wikipedia. I think you're massively underestimating the sheer quantity of stuff in the Earth. That said, of course physical resources are not literally unlimited - they're just so abundant that the primary limiting factor (by a long way) is our resourcefulness in manipulating them.

"At least not until we can start mining asteroids."

Exactly my point. "Resources" includes every tech you can imagine, noting the actual techs will almost entirely consist of things better than you or I can imagine.

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