CryptoForecast Analysis ($CFT)

in #cryptoforecast7 years ago (edited)
The following is not financial advice.

Welcome to back The Scoop!

This is the next post at a place where we share analysis and opinions for interesting coins, tokens and pure gems in the vast landscape of the blockchain world. There's so many coins out there, but not a lot of free information (looking at you, paid groups) and analysis on them. The Scoop aims to change that by sharing and improving the data available for a given coin by focusing on evaluating instead of predicting.

What is CryptoForecast?

It's a platform for traders to be able better predict cryptocurrency market trends and the various forms of movement. It's an application of the PILLAR algorithm which the team created internally and one can try it out here:

https://www.cryptoforecast.com/accounts/login/?next=/app/

Latest blog from team:
https://medium.com/@Forecasts/the-heart-and-mind-pillar-cryptoforecast-and-what-awaits-us-in-the-near-future-fa6e72e6716a

Where's the wallet?

CFT is an Omni asset, so if not keeping coins on the platform, you may keep in them in your Omni wallet:
https://www.omniwallet.org

Along with the whitepaper:
https://www.cryptoforecast.com/static/WhitePaper_V1.0.pdf

How many of them are they?

CMC says 46m circulating with a total supply of 50m.

More details:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1791709.0

Who's the team?

Michele Morelli is the author of the whitepaper and the rest of the team is supposedly comprised of developers and traders.

What motivates them?

It's unclear how many CFT the team still holds, but it's likely they have a stake.

Marketcap and Competitors?

~6m today and 27k volume, both very low but steadily gaining if you take a look at historical data.

https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/cryptoforecast/historical-data/

There's plenty of 'prediction market' coins out there, like Augur, Stox, but few that we know of similar for trading and predicting actual crypto movement. Just EquiTrader comes to mind, actually.

  • Gambit ($GAM) -> ~31m
  • EquiTrader ($EQT) -> ~9m

How is CFT different?

As crypto becomes more popular and more traders come online, they'll naturally want tools to make them more successful. Platforms like this cater to a community and if you believe the crypto will keep growing, why wouldn't tools like this too?

Pros

  • niche market
  • low cap
  • cool factor
  • communication

Cons

  • focus and progress
  • unproven team

Any constructive criticism?

Looking forward to more transparency about the team and roadmap progress in 2018 for sure.

Someone went out of their way to show their dismay with the team (unclear if there's any merit to this):
https://crypto-forecast.eu

Where is it traded?

Cryptopia brings in the most volume today.

https://www.cryptopia.co.nz/Exchange?market=CFT_BTC

The Final

Based on the FA, CFT looks like a low to medium risk with high reward potential if they continue to deliver and catch on. Picking it up under 800 sats would be bargain or around 20 - 25 cents would be an upper entry while still expecting solid, crypto-style gains.

And that's your scoop!

Nobody is perfect. See anything I didn't quite get right, or needs correction? Please let me know!
Remember, absolutely NOTHING you read on this blog, twitter or otherwise content anywhere on the Internet by the authors is financial advice, so DYOR and be responsible!
One more time in case you didn't see the first two: this is NOT financial advice! Also, The Scoop authors may hold coins discussed here which may creates some bias, but we try to be fair.
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Hey Scoop, thanks for the review :-).
I especially liked the competitors part!
Just as inspiration... some useful links you could add:

  • (extensive) bitcointalk discussion (which might contain more useful info - didn't dig through it yet):
    https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1791709.880
    -(I imagine that's open for debate :) but) it may even be an idea to group some of the links in a block of 'generic info' at the bottom of you post:
    http://www.cryptosmile.com/2017/03/new-way-for-investment-by.html?m=1
  • someone really convinced that the owner is not to be trusted, making it a true personal quest (couldn't further dig into this either) :
    https://crypto-forecast.eu
  • give it a try for a day or two and share your insights on how reliable it's predictions turned out. The recent days of turmoil (and some more to come?) might be a good case :-)
  • twitter:
    https://mobile.twitter.com/cryptoforecast?lang=en
  • expand the competitors section with some info about what the main differences (setup, target audience, first come advantage,...) are and pro/con's could be...
    All the best and keep up the good work :)

Oh wow, thanks for the data!

Very good stuff, will take a look and add some more content to the analysis.

This is the best post on Steemit. I gave you a vote now, ya heard?

I'm curious as to why a platform like this would need its own crypto? Could you explain the benefits and use of having its own?

Good question!

That's a common way for platforms to monetize themselves as the business model is most lucrative for both users and the creators.

I often wonder whether creating a crypto is the best way to monetize a service. In this case I would think that a subscription fee would be better, similar to trading view. It allows the business to receive revenue based on users, opposed to revenue that is directly impacted by the volatility of the market, which is not a sustainable way to run the business in times of a bear market.

I see this revenue strategy becoming more popular, but if we see crypto fall into a long period of bear, which we have not seen for a few years, then we will see a lot of these businesses have to fold.

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