BITCOIN back over 60% in market dominance.

in #cryptocurrency7 years ago (edited)

Well, well, well, looks like we're witnessing the burst of the Ethereum/ERC-20 tokens bubble.

GettyImages-613465866-58fbcc373df78ca159707b5c.jpg

Take a look at this chart.

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  • Ethereum and Bitcoin have been inversely correlated since the beginning of January;

  • Last June, Bitcoin's market dominance plummeted below 40% while Ethereum's rocketed up to 31%, fueled by exuberant bullishness, greed and irrational hype for ERC-20 tokens;

  • Bitcoin is now "bouncing" back up to re-assert its dominance over the market;

  • Meanwhile the overall altcoin market is looking bearish and has produced what could be its first lower high:

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credit to @imrane for bringing this chart to my attention

My analysis :

  • Ethereum has lost lots of its appeal for day-traders and greedy new money because ICO have become lackluster opportunities for making a quick buck;

  • Nevertheless, the market is still flooded with illiquid ERC-20 tokens, most of which are being dumped for BTC by disenchanted investors;

  • I believe next year will see market sentiment shifts towards yet another cryptocurrency (EOS? ETP? NEO? something else?) as most Ethereum-based projects will go bust and start to cash out their ill-acquired ETH on the market, potentially triggering a wash out and flat-lining most ERC-20 tokens;

  • Only very few Ethereum-based tokens will survive this market cycle, i.e the ones that have engineered a good product which truly benefit from a token economy (and very few have).

Folks, we might just be at the very start of a new, exciting market cycle.

As always, follow, re-steem and upvote if you like what you see

#cryptocurrency #bitcoin #ethereum #steem

Dan @tradealert

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I like your take on ETH. But it's hard to imagine it displaced as #2. Ethereum's tech offering here is sound even if most ICOs don't deliver on value. What do you think is the best player to replace Ethereum's crowd funding model?

I think you're right about ETH staying in #2 for a while, however, as regulations around ICOs develop, it's possible we see private blockchains take over ETH as regulation-friendly funding platforms (look at Filecoin's ICO for example)... of course this is just my opinion

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