Just throw money at cryptos, eventually you'll make a profitsteemCreated with Sketch.

in #crypto7 years ago (edited)

This is what I keep hearing from people. There is an honest belief out there that all one needs to do, is buy some coins or tokens and hold (HODL is becoming a cliche) and eventually you'll make some money. With just a little amount of research, this theory can be proven to have some problems.

I'll give an example and a few reasons why this theory is doomed to fail.

Veros

If you hold 1000 tokens of Veros at the time of writing, it would be worth about $0.154, yep 15 cents. If you had purchased those tokens on March 18th, 2017 you would have paid $40.

VerosDecline.jpg

Let's do that with some other numbers. If you'd put $4000 into this token, you'd have $15. 'Just HODL though, seriously, it's that easy'. No, it isn't.

If you were thinking about buying stocks in any publicly listed company, each one has a lot of information on it. You could find the CEO, the earnings for last year, who the senior employees are and so on. A wise investor would do this because having competent staff increases the success of a company. But how many ICOs, tokens and coins have no information about their core team available. They have a white paper, but often hide their most valued asset, the development team. Others do, and we see some of those tokens doing well.

What can we actually do with these tokens, today? Well, there are some applications. Ethereum is certainly functional, Bitcoin is starting to be accepted as a form of payment in some places, as is Litecoin. However, most ICOs are concepts, ideas, start-ups and so on. The current price is pure speculation on future functional use, in some cases the product isn't even developed yet. The core development team is therefore crucial for the token's success.

BTCD.jpg

BitcoinDark's development team all jumped ship and now work on Komodo. How do you think the future looks for BitcoinDark? I hear a lot of talk of Ripple with its substantial price gains of late. When I ask these people how many coins will ever exist, they don't know, yet they confidently project $10 a coin. Just to let you know, there will be 100 billion of these coins.

Ripple.jpg

It has been easy money on cryptos. You'd have to had been unlucky to lose money so far, but these gains won't last. Coins do drop off, Veros as an example. The best analogy for cryptos is the dotcom crash. Companies like Amazon came through it, if you'd held their stock you'd be laughing today. The merger between AOL and Time Warner shows how it's not just about buying and holding.

The price surge in Ripple is being driven by the hype of the market because anyone doing their research can see Ripple, the coin, is not being used by banks as much as investors expect. Banks are testing an improvement to the SWIFT network using Ripple, the company's technology, but this is independent to the coin.

If you disagree with me, please go purchase large amounts of Veros, with a non-existent development team or Leafcoin, also no development as far as I can see or get a mortgage and throw it all on BitCoinDark and let me know when those coins go 'to the moon' (to the moon is becoming a cliche).

What can happen is that people making gains now, will give it all back due to lack of research. I work in trading, I've seen this happen many times already. Someone doubles their account to then give it all back the next day.

Do research. Are the core development team intelligent and experienced people? How many coins or tokens will ever actually exist is crucial for predicting future price. Are the core development team actually active? Do the social media posts of the coin or token focus on development and functionality or are they posting gifs of a rocket going to the moon?

Sort:  

boost coin and confido are other 'dead' projects as well, similar to veros

Good advice. Research is the key. A lot of these tokens should only be seen as a short term 'investment'.

JUST MINE THE COINS! forg3et about trading them and buying them i bought an s9 bitmain ant miner for 1800$ worth of bitcoin cash (by the time it shipped the BCH was worth @ 3,000$ if i want to sell the miner right now on ebay ill bet @ 7,000$ but im going to mine with it and generate my own coins which i will sell when ever i want and screw up any day traders life when i decide to dump them. then when the next miner comes out ill buy that one which will be more energy efficient and more powerfull. and ill sell my old miner for way more than i bought it at. traders just get beat up with pump and dumps which i have no problem with because i dump.you should follow me and ask me any thing you want i been mining coins since 2012 i think youd say ive got some experience. nice right up though. lc.JPG

s9.JPG

Hi @drewkin I see you are using 100% power up option. You might not want to do that. I wrote a detailed post explaining why, you should read it.
DON'T USE 100% POWER UP - You Will Lose a Lot of Money
thank me later ;)

Yes, I believe that the "Shoeshine Boy" moment has arrived. https://rationalwiki.org/wiki/Great_Depression

I have a 73-year-old client trading crypto. She just said she thinks it's time to look for safer investments.
I think the start of this year will see a bull run on alt-coins, people have seen BTC, ETH, LTC, DASH and now XRP rally, they are going to look for the next coin to do that. A month ago everyone wanted to buy Bitcoin or Litecoin. Recently all my clients were asking about Ripple, now they are all talking about alt-coins like Electroneum and such.

Appreciate the post. Look forward to hearing more of your thoughts on the crypto spacce

I agree however predictions are based on current size of the market in it's early stages. Market cap is the worst indicator for a currency type situation.

I created my first ever post which I think people will find funny to read. Could some people spread the word :)

I quit my high paid job yesterday to do this so am a bit worried haa.

https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@cryptoadviceltd/quit-my-job-yesterday-my-honest-journey-in-cryptocurrency-the-highs-the-lows

The main event isn't bitcoin. It's using the blockchain to disrupt other industries and Wall Street.

The crypto market has set the bar shockingly low for entrepreneurs to raise money, and this is dangerous for everyone involved.

Whenever the price of cryptocurrency is rallying, people start spending a lot more.

The crypto market has set the bar shockingly low for entrepreneurs to raise money, and this is dangerous for everyone involved.

Coin Marketplace

STEEM 0.18
TRX 0.16
JST 0.030
BTC 68348.76
ETH 2644.95
USDT 1.00
SBD 2.69