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RE: Signs of Trouble for Risky Assets?
I read that the flattening/inverting yield curve has preceded the past 9 recessions. However, I also read somewhere that stock crashes also precedes recessions. Any idea if the yield curve inverts before stocks market crashes or is it the other way around?
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In my experience, it is the yield curve first then the stock market. However, there are conflicting data points given the type of recession as they could be demand driven or more structural which is worst and seems to be the case this time around.
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