I'm also leaning on "it'll probably go lower" group. The more interesting question IMHO is are we getting to a point where something else could go against the overall BTC trend. So far I don't think we have reached that point. But I can see so many great stuff building behind the scenes when it comes to alt coins.

• EOS and TRON are getting some interesting products and they actual have real usage of their DAPPs
• Dash has done the best work when it coes to crypto adoption in developing world (https://discoverdash.com) and the Evolution upgrade will finally come out this year.
• https://www.crypto.com can eventually have a ,assive impact and they are already rolling out cards.
• STEEM has many DAPPs and I'm most impressed by @steemhunt and @steemmonsters

These are just few good ones on top of my head. People are eventually going to get frustrated of waiting for Bitcoin. It's just these big believers of BTC haven't suffered enough yet.

Good Luck on your shorts!