Brexit Shambles and My Opinion

This is just my humble opinion, so please voice your opposition and ideas of the situation in the comment section. Id also like to know the way this is being portrayed in other countries as I am a Briton, I can't see it from an alternative perspective.

Firstly the current situation is a complete mess, and convention is being completely broken. The fact that convention is being broken isn't the worst thing, its just that the lack of codification mixed with this new political situation has created an unguided process that only fuels the uncertainty. This doesn't help the government to find a solution which is proving complex and practically hard.

The political gridlock we currently have is caused by the split of opinion within MPs. As show by firstly the Prime Minister's defeat of her bill which was supported by about 1 third of commons, the other two thirds are; hard brexiteers who see this deal as a trap and a delusion of regaining sovereignty, the last third is the remainers who want another referendum and believe by blocking they could force a reversal of the process. Now as you can tell the PM has a horrible situation because she needs to gain enough of one of these groups to support her. But if she goes one way it would upset the other side as well as tear some of her currently loyal Conservative MP's away. The situation is not great and the only way I feel the conservative party could unite is a real threat of Corbyn getting in, if Corbyn was less extreme and a stronger leader then it could become a real threat. Under him though the Conservatives are not scared enough.

However the Conservatives did rally to support May in defending her vote of no confidence and so preventing another general election which in my opinion the majority of people and MP's don't want, if it did happen I could see the biggest amount of seats turned over in history with many constituencies showing their frustrations at the current political turmoil and indecision. And if there was another referendum the outcome would be remain, although the turnout would be so low due to voters showing defiance in their democratic voice being ignored the first time, this is just my estimation.

Solution wise its very difficult with experts struggling to come up with a compromise because essentially we want a deal that allows us to retain our sovereignty in all aspects whilst still maintaining that economic bliss. Its very hard for the EU to allow us to have that because it would cause a number of countries to queue up for that exit deal, the EU see the loss of sovereignty as a trade off for the economic bonus. Whilst the smaller countries feel the huge benefits in all ways and the grants the EU give them certainly help, bigger countries feel it isn't justified and the UK is an example of this trade of sovereignty becoming too much.

So the EU can't budge too much, I feel the deal we currently have is unlikely to change dramatically as the EU stated. But there could be some slight changes and tweaks that allow for some extra support. But again I don't see this happening and its becoming more likely to me a no deal scenario is the most likely at the moment. There is hope for those who see that as doomsday, the Prime Minister has stated she is willing to work with party leaders to try to resolve it. She has to deal with Corbyn who stated that these talks can go ahead as long as she agrees to rule out a no deal which to me seems like a contradiction, he talked about being open minded but demanded something be taken off the table...strange. The other leaders might be more favorable but unless she gains the support of her whole party she will find it increasingly unlikely to please enough opposition, this is taking into account the next party with any reasonable size is the SNP who will be very hard to crack as Scotland voted to remain.

So what I just wrote wasn't a solution because I have no idea to what will solve this, we cant go back as it would undermine the democratic vote, we cant go forward because of the political deadlock, so logically we will stay as we are until we leave the EU with no deal. But this fear could maybe force action and political discourse which I encourage, if this doesn't work or occur then a final attempt to prevent a no deal would be a confidence vote like we saw today which would force the EU to give us more time.

Messy as it is, this could cause a lot of reforms in our current political system which as shown is completely incompetent, I would say with certainty these people who are meant to be leading us, inspire me with no confidence.

Thanks for reading, KPH.

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