Loaned BTC during the Bitcoin Cash chain splitsteemCreated with Sketch.

in #bitcoin7 years ago

Kraken has announced some of the strongest support for Bitcoin Cash (BCH) among exchanges.

http://blog.kraken.com/post/1150/bitcoin-cash-and-a-critical-alert-for-bitcoin-margin-traders/

Someone had an interesting question on lending and margin trading across the split:

Screen Shot 2017-07-30 at 10.37.21 PM.png

https://twitter.com/coinasaurus/status/891650960711221251

Alice has 1 bitcoin that she loans to Bob. Bob sells this bitcoin for $2,700 to Charlie - all before the split. The chains split and Charlie has 1 BTC and 1 BCH. The question is: does Bob owe 1 BCH to Alice?

If Bob owes Alice the BCH, he needs to buy 1 BTC and 1 BCH back from {Charlie}.

Does it make sense the way Kraken explained it? I think so. I think it could go either way.

Scenario 1: Bob owes Alice 1 BTC and 1 BCH

Charlie is buying knowing that he will get the split. If Bob knows that he will owe both, he is betting that the combined value will go down. Alice is lending knowing that she will get both coins back. Advantage to the lender.

Scenario 2: Bob owes Alice only 1 BTC

Charlie is buying knowing that he will get the split. If Bob knows that he will not have to pay back both BCH and BTC, he is borrowing betting that the value of BTC-only will be going down. If BCH goes to the moon and the combined value goes to the moon, Bob may still win if the value of Segwit BTC goes down. Alice is lending the BTC not caring about the BCH. Advantage to the short-seller.

I think either way is acceptable for Kraken to implement. Scenario 1 may be much more dangerous to short BTC. Bob is betting that the combined value of the two coins will be less than the value of BTC right now. In scenario 2, the price of BCH can not hurt Bob.

Given that Kraken has stated support for scenario 1, shorters may feel a little pinch after the fork. Maybe not.

Sort:  

coinasaurus Coinasaurus tweeted @ 30 Jul 2017 - 13:25 UTC

@krakenfx @JasonHamiltonFX So what happens here:
Alice lends Bob 1 BTC
Bob Shorts 1 BTC
Charlie Buys 1 BTC from Bob… twitter.com/i/web/status/8…

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