Like you, I have searched for and ultimately developed my own proprietary indicators to determine when to move in and out of markets in best serving long-term time horizons. I added bitcoin to the narrow mix of markets I currently track. You can find a page out of my official report here.

In keeping with my quantified trend model for BTC, the "Cycle" degree of trend remains down in a deep 2nd wave decline. With a decline of 84% already in place, the 2-wave at cycle dimension can bottom at any time going forward - or fresh new lows could take place to facilitate such a terminal as well.

In terms of "timing," I've already alluded to such here, however, as we both seem to agree - the only way to quantify high probability entry and exit points is via a predefined model that has a successful track record in doing so.

All of the other "predictive" and anticipatory technical speculation is just that - speculation. And though it can be entertaining and amusing to ponder the suggestions thereof, it more often than not leads to poor investment decisions. As mentioned before, it's best to have a simple and reliable strategy in place - and then nurture the iron-willed discipline to follow it to a tee - win, lose, or draw.