Bitcoin TA - summary of analysts - 16. June 18

in #bitcoin7 years ago

Regular daily update on BTC ta analysts opinions.

**My summary - short-term (next 24h) sentiment: bearish ** (last: bearish )

We stuck between 6'300 and 6'700. We might see a recovery but most likely more downside is to come.
  • Bearish scenario (preferred):

  • 6'300 gets broken as well

  • Last stronghold is the low of Feb 5th - 5'945 - after that we are wide open for a big drop ...

  • Bull scenario:
    We break 6'800 and 7'000. Volume is picking up and we get a run to the upper barrier of the triangle.

  • @haejin: He is posting bitcoin only on bitcoin live anymore. I am trying to reach out to him to see if we can have an abstract here.
  • Lets see how June plays out -usually also a bullish month. Are we going to see a compensation of May with a huge rally up?
    IMAGE 2018-04-08 20:14:56.jpg

News about the blog

  • I revised my tables. Now the sentiment is split in 4 sentiments. Sentiments are based on the candle charts timeframe. So 4hr charts, daily, weekly, monthly chart sentiments are up. I haven't gathered all information from all analysts yet but will do that over time. I hope you find that additional precision useful.

  • To let the steemit community about this I will use promoting bots for this post.

  • Bounty project website launched. Are you becoming a bounty hunter? Steem-bounty website.
    You find the How-To for creating a bounty at this post

Analysts key statements:

Tone:

  • Weekly: We are pulling up from 6'100 being at 6'500. Tricky situation to trade. Chart could pull up to 7'000 before going lower.<<

@haejin:

@haejin is moving his analysis to bitcoin live. Those of you who want to follow him directly should look into subscription. I will try to get in contact to see if I can use an abstract to post here also in the future.

nonews.jpg
Bitcoin (BTC) Short Term Update: The blue circle shows a potential pricepathway of BTC. The purple waves have been updated and it shows a scenario where purple 1,2,3 could be complete and 4 is getting its final touches. Purple 5 is still targeting the 6'300 zone or so.
Bildschirmfoto 2018-06-13 um 10.31.45.png

@ew-and-patterns:

nonews.jpg
He expects cryptos to drop 40-50% in the coming weeks. There is still a small chance that it will not crash, but it looks really bad.
Regardless of the count, the last relevant support level is 5920 (February low). If this is breached, I don't have any plausible shortterm bullcount left. But until then there is a small chance for this:
Bildschirmfoto 2018-06-14 um 16.26.23.png
f we don't see this giant bullwick in the next two days, which brings BTC back into the triangle, I think this is what's going to happen:
Bildschirmfoto 2018-06-14 um 16.26.49.png
Bildschirmfoto 2018-06-14 um 16.27.42.png
The second pic suggests (white background) that the correction should be done in early August and that the optimal target for wave C is 3'100, because it would be the exact same length as wave A. (C=A happens quite often)
If this drop happens, my taget zone is going to be 4'500 - 3'000.

@lordoftruth:

Bitcoin price has stuck in the bearish channel Bordered By 6'300 - 6'700.

According to technical analysis, there are yet no Clear Reversal Signals, bitcoin price most likely will continue to move inside the channel, and finally will break the down border at 6'300, while breaking 6'300 again, will open the way to 6'039, that will cause a panic sell to push the price towards our next targets at 5'878 & 4'267 to build our expected Butterfly "Buy" ( The potential bullish reversal location).

Todays trend is bearish. Trading between 6'039 and 6'800.

@philakonesteemit:

nonews.jpg
A bounce at the 7'000 level was much expected due to hitting a major trend line support established since Nov 11, 2017.
Bullish View, if we break the 7'650 range, there's a chance to hit 7'850 to 8'000 range (0.5 to 0.618 fib retracement)
Bildschirmfoto 2018-06-01 um 11.10.48.png
Bearish View, if we break 7'161 range, we'll most likely test 7'040, which I see as failing to hold and then testing 6'500.
Bildschirmfoto 2018-06-01 um 11.10.58.png

@passion-ground:

nonews.jpg
Is a short-term pivot low in place? The move up off the recent pivot low, as promising as it may otherwise appear, is still just a pregnant thought in the grander scheme of things.
Bildschirmfoto 2018-06-15 um 10.39.49.png

Summary of targets/support/resistance

Reference table

analystlatest content datelink to content for details
Tone Vays14. Junehere
@haejin13. Junehere
@ew-and-patterns14. Junehere
@lordoftruth16. Junehere
@philakonesteemit31. Mayhere
@passion-ground15. Junehere

Definition

  • light blue highlighted = all content that changed since last update.
  • sentiment = how in general the analysts see the current situation (bearish = lower prices more likely / bullish = higher prices more likely). The sentiment is based on 4hr, daily, weekly, monthly candle charts.
  • target = the next (short term) price target an analysts mentions. This might be next day or in a few days. It might be that an analyst is bullish but sees a short term pull-back so giving nevertheless a lower (short term) target.
  • support/res(istance) = Most significant support or resistances mentioned by the analysts. If those are breached a significant move to the upside or downside is expected.

Further links for educational purposes:

*If you like me to add other analysts or add information please let me know in the comments.

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I have been working on modelling analysts success rates and how they compare to various day trading scenarios. (I made a post yesterday) How much of it is down to randomness. I plan on using this report to get some empirical stats over an extended period. I was wondering if you had the bull/bear signal for each of your reports in a spreadsheet that I would be able to access?

BTC 4.png

Price looking to fall towards $5,000, hopefully that's the bottom. If not we could be seeing a drop towards $1,500 :/

Well done nice analysis

thank you please follow me

I'd love to see BTC test 5-5.5k where I believe it will find strong support, consolidate and the bounce back up. Great post, thanks

Agree. Our Analysts seems to agree with your opinion. I'm out of the market and will try and catch the falling knife around mid $5k level. ALT Coins are gonna be dirt cheap at those levels.

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