wonp10 MIKEMAZZONE READS THE WAR ON NORMAL PEOPLE BY ANDREW YANG PART 10

bittubers.com/playlist/1006/9 One fifth by unlike zone and I'm reading the war on normal people by Andrew Yang for the paraphrase Winston Churchill America a well of these do the right thing after they've tried everything else the question in my mind is what happens it's between them now and then in how bad things will gets for believe it or not the freedom dividend is the easy part of the transition money is easy people are hard for all of the immense good a UPI will do it is just the first step for the ongoing challenge will be to preserve a mindset of growth responsibility community humanity family and optimism in an era where so many bastions of the past were going to topple into obsolescence in so many ways of life will be changed irrevocably I never played magic the gathering that is creator Richard Garfield wrote about UPI in a way I really liked UPI is not shaming everyone participates in does not try to control the economy from the top people can spend their money on what they want and therefore steer the economy as it has always been best steered by the consumer they could free up the job market in ways that are hard to appreciate I am entrance by the BEI not just as a needed facts but as an institute that unleashes people's court and shall I find myself convince the DB eye is natural and would be to a more productive and happier world and would allow us to fully harnessed people's creativity and the technology that creates retrying relative deprivation and it's not working at measures are wasting time scarcity will not save us abundance will be for a get carried away with my argument for UPI that's look back at the history of the concepts in a versions of it are already a reality 17 universal basic income in the real world is hard to fathom now but the idea of a guaranteed annual income was mainstream political wisdom in the United States in the late 1960s and early 1970s Medicare and Medicaid had just been passed in 1965 and the country have an appetite for solutions for social problems in May 19, 8 68/1000 university in, signed a letter supporting a guaranteed annual income in 1969 President Nixon propose the family assistance plan which would provide cash benefits of about $10,000 per family and serve as a guaranteed annual income is some eligibility requirements miss bill was supported by 79% of respondents polled at the time the family assistance plan passed the house of representatives by a white marsh and 200432155 with installed in the senate do two of all things democrats who wanted an even more robust plan a democratic Congressman William Ryan from New York instead proposed in income floor equivalent two $33,933 thousand today in the original bill would be all argued and we propose for years thereafter U.S. government funded a number of studies between 1968 and 1975 you gain insight into how guaranteed income would impact fifth individual families the primary agenda was to see whether people would keep working if they were getting money from the government's with no strings attached for the New Jersey graduated work incentive experiment gave cash payments to more than 1300 families between 1968 and 1971 to get above the poverty line researchers found minimal impact on work networks 1 hour less per week while women reduce their workweek spy 5 hours mother spent more time with their children whose performance in school improved by school graduation rates rose substantially over the period by as much as 30% for similar studies were rolled out in North Carolina Iowa Indiana Colorado and Washington for most of the study showed results similar to the initial New Jersey population however the most vigorous and generous a study in Denver and Seattle found work hour decreases of about 9% for men 20% for wives and 40% for single mothers for the timber study also showed an increase in marriage dissolution that surpassed a lot of people and help arm proponent opponents of the legislation who defeated it for good in 1978 for in 1988 scholars of the University of Wisconsin went through the data and found that the affect on marriage was dramatically overstated based on an erroneous model other scholars later questioned the work decrease is based on self reported HRS before the time the debate had passed the U.S. studies involved individual families and never tried to measure communal impact the candidate ride it all in one small town in February 1974 Canada spent the equivalent of $56,000,000 to get everyone in the town of dauphin of 13,000 person town northwest of Winnipeg above the poverty line 1000 families got a check each month of different amounts with no restrictions be called its main come short for minimum income and lasted for four years before a conservative governments won control of the governments and discounted payments many years later in 2005 Evelyn forgets an economist at the University of Manitoba track down and analyze the results politically there was a concern that if you began a guarantee an annual income people would stop working and start having large families recalls forgets his day she found minimal affect on work the only group will work substantially less where new mothers and teenagers with the letters many more time in school batteries for women under 25 dropped as school graduation rates went up rap's most dramatically for gay found that hospital visits went down 8.5% with reductions in workplace injuries and a merchant seem room visits to domestic violence went down as did mental illness related appointments and treatments basically live got significantly better in a town without poverty in may be hard to believe a one state in the United States has had something resembling a UPI for decades and Alaska in 1976 the state started receiving billions in oil revenue from the state owned land governor jay Hammonds a republican had an innovative plan the push to place them revenue in a fund that would then pay out part of its earnings to state residents each year he insisted that this fund had a conservative political purpose by putting a brake on government spending and distributing more of the money directly two people the Alaska permanent fund approved earnings and started paying dividends in 1982 is Alaskan and now receives a petroleum dividend of between $1000 in $2000 per person per year a family of four received more than $8000 in a 2815 and the dividend reduces poverty by ¼ and is one reason that Alaska has the second lowest income inequality in the country studies have shown that T that the dividend has increased averaged infant birth weights and helped keep rural Alaskans solvents that has also created at least 7000 jobs due to the increased economic activity each year the program now in its 36 year despite numerous changes in government is overwhelmingly popular 64% of respondents even said that they would accept higher taxes if necessary to fund the dividends in 1995 a group of researchers began tracking the personalities of 1420 low income children in North Carolina then something unexpected happened 25% of the children started receiving $4000 per person they were Cherokee Indians and the casino had just been built nearby with earnings flow into tribal members is development turned into a research treasure trove it would be almost impossible to replicate this kind of Lange to roll budget to nibble study said Randall lackey and cannot and economists professor and ACLU UCLA 80 found that the impact of the extra cash actually impacted the children's personalities over the years behavioral and emotional disorders went down to personality traits became more pronounced consciousness and agreeable miss conscientiousness and agreeable miss what correlate strongly with holding a job in maintaining a steady relationship these changes were most significant among children and started up the most efficient Nikki surmise that the impact was due in part to lessen stressful environments relationships between spouses improved alcohol consumption went down we know that the thing for couples fight about the most is money said a key removing that source of conflict resulted in a more harmonious home environments there's a lot of literature that shows in order to change outcomes among children you are best off treating the parents first said Amelia some and Syria novum Ana, makes an economics professor from john Hopkins were studied the same families the money produced clear changes in the parents she concluded now we have a sense of what even just a little money can do to change these things can change their lives in 2008 Michael Fay and call the house where graduate students at Harvard studying international development and doing field work overseas they visited Kenya and ever where they look the sun dispensed $8.00 in the forms of abandoned water pumps are used clothing and the like they became convinced that more than food that Nat's no schoolbooks sports equipment, OS water jugs or anything else the people wanted cash that summer Michael and Paul gave a few $1000 of their own money to poor villagers and started to measure results in found that among cash recipients domestic bought violence rates dropped mental health improved and people started eating better be stuck with the idea and expanded its in 2012 a friend introduced them to google dodge ward which contributed $2.4 million to further their efforts the more the pier measured the more dramatically positive the results were people started businesses children read more girls went to school more often women have more independence that turns out they giving cash is very effective unlike most organizations be documented all the results and brought them back to show the world fifth since then give directly has raised more than $128,000,000 in part to Ron Abel new ways to distribute money to dip in developing countries in 2016 they announced a $30,000,000 12 year basic income trial in a region in Western Kenya you directly has sent shock waves through the charity sector positive one article in the Guardians organizations that as for money on behalf of the poor should be able to promote prove that they can do more with it than the poor themselves for most ngos it's it's his is a compelling challenge basically that global war would be better served if most in organization's got out of the way and handed them the money for fifth for today economic inequality for a job markets and the early signs of automation have produced in a massive surge of enthusiasm for UPI Wordwide Finland started a two year try to trial in 2017 in which 2000 unemployed people between 25 and 28 receive a basic income of about $660 a month with no strings attached India is actively considering implementing a modest basic income nationally in the next year after study showed it would be more efficient than their existing programs can is giving 4000 participants in on grants of up to 12,574 individuals at 18,904 couples from 2017 through 2020 and measuring results for the Netherlands in Scotland are each wearing a small trial Iran implemented a full blown equivalent of UPI in 2011 of approximately $16,000 per year a response to heavy cuts to oil and gas subsidies for economists measure labor rates and found no reduction in hours worked if anything they found people in the service industry expanded their businesses is is usually indicate if because of the enormous sample size Iran has 80,000,000 people acquittal into the combined total of New York California and Florida over an extended period of time for most recently a small trial launched in the United States starting in early 27 in oakland's California same Altman the head of the technology firmwide come, nadir is giving 100 all souls in open approximately 1000 to 2000 dollars per month for about a year to measure the impacts on recipient's the goal is to roll out a larger five year trial after words Sam and his friends are giving away two million dollars and hiring researchers does to see what will happen for love the fact that Sam is putting up the resources to study this problem he's demonstrating the kind of leadership and vision that's in an ideal world are governments would be capable of C enthusiasm is building for a UPI based on both its intellectual and moral appeal and it's real world success thus far the main counter argument generally go something like this we can't afford its money has to come from somewhere were used to the government's spending billions wastefully to no great affect trying to raise taxes is it of assessments in any climates was fascinating is that fascinating is that any UPI does it actually grow the government's it's almost cost free to administer and doesn't build a new bureaucracy is less an expenditure and more transfer to citizens to that they can use it to improve their lives they each other patronize local businesses and support the consumer economy for a stay of hiring a new army of governments employees every dollar will be put into the hands of an American citizen and then largely spent within the American economy for by definition Marilyn money would be wasted because it goes to citizens into knowledge is to accompany giving dividends or monies to its shareholders no one regards that is a waste of money because the shareholders theoretically are the owners of the company co are we not as the citizens of the United States the owners of the country as a country we are usually wealthy enough to manage he even a full of UPI in our economy has grown by more than four trillion dollars in the past 10 years alone for the U.S. dollar remains the global reserve currency they are the most technologically advanced society in human history and increased automation will allow our economy to continue to grow well past its current level for not only that we will get a loss of the money back through new businesses and economic activity that are educational outcomes improved health and preventive care measure mental health to reduce crime and incarceration reduced services for homelessness and many other social benefits you know which really expensive dysfunction revolution keeping people and families functional will largely pay for itself that will destroy people's incentives to work all of the available data shows that work hours stay stable or at most increased modestly with a basic income to the extent that people spend less time working they tend to be young mothers and teenagers whom we might not mind working a little less if they're taking care of your kids were going to school there are two completely oppositional ideas that many people seem to hold simultaneously first work is vital in the core of the human experience second nobody will want to work if they don't have to these two ideas are incomplete size with each other either work is a core of the human experience and we'll do it even if where don't necessarily have two or work is something we have no interest in doing me to it only to survive earth city of freedom dividend of $12,000 a year when enabled one to barely scrape by anyone who wants to accomplish anything by something nice orb is a better life for their children will still have to work $12,000 a year is the equivalent of having $300,000 in savings and then living off the passive income at 4% a year have you ever heard of someone who gathered at $300,000 and then just stopped working I haven't I've seen many people who save some money and then wanted to save more Andy stern Jobe said most of the upper middle class children he knows have something called parental basic income their lives are partially subsidized by their parents cell phone bills rights guarantees family trips and vacations and so on all come out of the bank of mom and dad this is the norm in most of the wealthy families I've seen in most of the kids turn out fine in terms of work ethic replacing work is going to be a generational challenge and will require the great minds and hearts of this para but getting money two live is an independence question giving money to live independent of work will enable us to figure out what were we actually want to do even if that work is not necessarily in an office or store this is a much deeper and more fundamental question then how one survives a month to month when get cause rampant inflation inflation has been low for years in part because technology and globalization have been reducing the costs of many things even the printing of four trillion dollars in monetary easing after the financial crisis didn't cause meaningful inflation that the universal basic income were paid for tool that is proposed above we wouldn't be increasing the money supply to inflation would be expected based on the amount of money floating around in universal basic income at the level of the freedom dividend would likely result in some inflationist renters take advantage of the new buying power of the public to raise some prices up costs would continue to decline for many things because technology would continue to lower the underlying cost of their production if you reflect on your own costs most things that are subject to economic competition globalization and technology have gotten either much cheap or or much better or both akin to leave how cheap clothing for this becomes an $8.00 tee shirts and $15.00 pence at 8:10 AM make me feel guilty for buying them cars cost the same in nominal terms as when I was growing up even though they feel like spaceships compared to my old crony Honda music movies and most forms of entertainment are cheaper than ever particularly adjusted for inflation of the major expenses that have shown inflation the most conspicuous our healthcare costs in education costs both of which have exploded in recent years Health Care and education are not truly subject to market forces and have thus far been resistant to both automation and increased efficiency they are also some of the main reasons Americans have become stressed out wages have been flat with the cost of the staples we rely upon to provide a good life for our children have been spiraling out of control not only would a UPI not cause inflation the pudding purchasing power in the hands of Americans would help address the worst circumstances of where prices have gone up its people spend the money and stupid things like drugs and alcohol the data doesn't show this in every basic income study there has been no increase in drug and alcohol abuse if anything and improve sense of the future motivates people to figure out a plan for how to improve their lots for example many people in Alaska save a significant chunk of their oil dividends each year there are true addicts and some people are self destructive but it's not like a lack of money is precise resume keeping people from using opioid sand alcohol you find a way to get both money and drugs right now sometimes illicitly AVI would curb antisocial behavior and give at least some and increased ability two seek treatment is the thing for poor people tend to be much more careful with their money than rich people I've never been truly born but I remember being downed in feeling broke busing tables at Chinese Restaurants for $5.20 an hour plus tips as a teenager I remember how much $50.00 in cash and meant to me then oh care for a light be with the money the idea that were people will be irresponsible with their money in squander it seems to be a product of deep seated biases rather than emblematic of the truth its fifth of there's a tendency for rich people to dismiss pour people as we will children with no cost discipline and the evidence runs in the other direction as the Dutch philosopher rocker Bregman and others put its poverty is not a lot of character is a lack of cash for scarcity research indicates that the best way to improve decision-making is to free up people's bandwidth people won't ever make perfect choices but knowing that their basic needs are accounted for Willie to better choices for millions of people each day 18 and time as the new money to be able to fill like these are intelligently is the last product of civilization birch which range rustle a man with no means a filling up time is as miserable out of work as a dog on the chain George Orwell even with the freedom dividends attending to people's ability to feed themselves the thing that still freaks everyone out about replacing jobs is this what what people do all day work is been proven to be a vital part of a healthy life in society long-term unemployment is one of the most destructive things that can happen to a person getting a bit of money doesn't necessarily change that's to the government guarantee work or create jobs many idealistic people I know advocate for universal service opportunities the problem is that is very expensive to organize train and employed people teach for America spends approximately 550-1000 dollars for a cork mend of member on a non compensation costs over two years goodman selection training programming support and so on the peace score its annual budget of 400 in $10,000,000 is $56,000 per volunteer venture for America the organization I started spends about $30,000 per young entrepreneur on recruitment training and the like over two years in the U.S. military spends approximately $170,000 per soldier current year on salads salary maintenance housing infrastructure and the like setting up a structure for people is why be expensive guaranteed work would cost tens of thousands of additional dollars for recruitment training and infrastructure before anyone even gets paid when also wonder creating very large organizations and bureaucracies that the score has over 1000 fulltime employees supporting 7200 volunteers for example many of the population its people are most eager to see employed and kept from idleness are among the least competent and able to be employed by the private sector natural tendency is to spend a lot of money are people doing things that aren't actually that valuable says we're talking about millions of people on the lower end of the education and skill range is is likely where most efforts would be if one try to replace any significant proportion of private employment with government service jobs for I believe a National Service and the power of investing in people the right people with the right mission can move mountains but an economy where most people work for the government has been tried and failed in many environments most notably communist China before 1978 and the Soviet Union before it broke the parts right now the United States is relatively low among developed countries in terms of proportion of citizens who work for the government's around 15% as compared to canada's 22.4% of the united kingdom's 23.5% fifth steal government finance positions need to be creative very carefully and judiciously and preferably focused on high impact roles for they certainly will not be the cure for a nation without enough jobs to go around during the great depression in the 1930s the U.S. government's higher 40,000 recreation officers and artists and a custom $3.3 billion about $47,000,000,000 today to make things even more things more enjoyable and keep people engaged that would be the equivalent of hiring about 100,000 people to go to towns around the country today based on how much our population has grown since then this strikes me as something of an upper limits of what the government could do specifically for the purpose of citizen engagements for areas of instruction and during the depression included single sex sports and games arts and crafts music and music dramatics the reading of books discussion groups hiking parties would work metal work furniture making glee clubs in orchestras and lectures on hygiene diets and even social indicates reading that this probably makes one year for a simpler time a better approach today would be to try to supercharge the existing interests in opportunity's of businesses people and local organizations and you be I would go a long way in this direction for example as imagined a local nonprofit providing after school recreation for underprivileged kids that his five employees making $30,000 a year right now with the UPI you might be able to hire seven employees at 220-1000 dollars a year instead of 40% an increase in staffing because people with a level of Financial Security might take the job for less the same would go for a school's ability to utilize volunteers to provide teacher supports a church's ability to enlist mentors and so one Dutch Professor Robert jay Van Der Veen and economist Philip been Perry is absurd that a UPI will bring down the average wage rates for untracked if intrinsically rewarding work its the fun things that people want to do that are socially and personally rewarding will pay less but many more people will want to do them any way jobs and purpose will in part be provided by more people teaching children coaching others carried for loved ones and the like there were also be a dramatic expansion of painting making music shooting videos playing sports writing and all of the creative pursuits many Americans would love to try but can't seem to find the time for today many people have some artistic passion that they would pursue if they didn't need to worry about feeding themselves next month IDB I would be perhaps the greatest catalyst two's human creativity we have ever seen perhaps most crucially endless new businesses would form if you're in a town of 5000 people in misery and every one is struggling to get by starting say a bakery may not be that are tracked if but with a UPI there will be an additional $60,000,000 being spent in that town next year you personally will have an income to fall back, if the big rate doesn't work out now the bakery may strike you as a great idea getting your friends and family excited about it would be a lot easier two which would play out over and over again and throughout the economy resulting in millions of new jobs or 0.7 million according to the Roosevelt institute's analysis AVI would interest a significant proportion of the lack of work through increased humanity carrying creativity and enterprise it said we're going to have to do much more picture the average truck driver who gets sent home in 2026 is: Ted is 49 has health problems dropped out of college after a year had a series of construction jobs and then was a trucker for 12 years before automation illuminated his job he lives in a modest mobile home in Oklahoma is a child but is no you as a child by the that is was no longer with the mother who lives a couple of towns away and sees his son once or twice per month he has some hobbies and interests that involve the outdoors used oak is used to being on the road for days a week and talking to a spell oh truckers on the radio he likes to drink he was brought up Christian but hasn't been to church in years there aren't many job opportunities for 10 nearby and he doesn't want to move base to a savings of freedom dividends and the settlements you received from the trucker transition act of 2022 he can get by financially if he's for bowl left to rezone devices 10 will likely spend a lot of time watching TV drinking and having his health deteriorates the goal is for 10 to acquire a set of interests and relationships the replace the structure that were used to provide now that's imagined 10 is in his home in Oklahoma on settling into his recliner watching video on his TV he doesn't like the new fee are goggles some of his kids use the DIS a message on his phone and says one of your neighbors Annie could use some help changing her propane tank would you like to help out that includes a profile of any who is a six year old woman who lives nearby 10 shrugs and responds yes and puts in a line for later that day at 1:00 PM 10 drives over to his house and swaps out are depleted propane tank for a new one from loners is backwards a little as he moves the tank but it makes him feel useful any profusely thanks him and may make some small talk any worked as a secretary at a nearby hospital her wrists or French aisle in turns out her children went to the same high school has tended and returns to his house later he gets a message saying base for helping any we have earned 100 social credits you now have 1600 social credit spanked we have earned 14,800 social credits over your lifetime Yasser this images from any saying that you for the help your life saver the replies no problem happy to help the takes on an assignment bite them this once or twice a day and generally moving something around were picking someone up these open to meet someone with a dog that he can borrow for the next time his son visits his boy blacks dogs he could post and request on the tolls are digital social credit exchange but would prefer not to the doesn't really like asking for help he prefers to help others and earn credits he has is I am a couple of deals for thunder tickets or two by 8¢ at cabal as use a bunch of social credits to pay for a fishing trip earlier in the year is local poker game to started using social credits instead of dollars two a couple of the guys I just started volunteering at the local youth center to they were swimming in credits maybe if you're smart in disbelief and my concept of social credits with a scenario is based on a system currently in use in about 200 communities around United States called time banking time banking is a system that was people trade time in bill Krantz within communities by performing various helpful tasks transporting an epic item walking a dog cleaning up the yard cooking a meal providing a ride to the Dr. and so on the idea was championed in the mid 1990s in the United States Pieter cain a law professor and antipoverty activist is a way to strengthen communities for example in brittle borrow Vermont today and you 115 members of the local time bank had exchange 64,000 hours of mutual work over the past eight years the Brattleboro time bank was started by two graduate students with 30 members in 2009 and has grown each year Amanda Whitman a 40 year old single mother wrote about her experience three years ago I was in each of spots my husband and I had separated and I was in a large house the needed lots of repairs and was home schooling my kids and working part time from home during web site customer service and huge financial challenge by friends knew I was overwhelmed and more than one said I should join the brittle borrowed time trade at first I thought was time to trade that I learned that you can draw on the deficit's get help immediately and pay back the time when you're able so I posted requests on the web site to fix up my house I coach one or two members would respond but a bunch of people ended up offering assistance ready bright fixed hotels in them in the wall and replaced my water pressure tank other people haul the bunch of stuff to the dump replaced ancient wiring and helped me plan to vegetable garden before joining the group I never would have been comfortable requesting all that help but you don't be like your pestering anyone because people happily volunteer for the jobs and they always show up with a smile and even though I'm so tight on time I've always been able to find jobs that fit my schedule but babysitting or making someone on the all in fact my whole family pages and all tell my kids everest's 15 Alton 14 Ellery alive in an ever 89 that were stacking wood for our neighbor in order to get our light fixture fixed it makes them feel useful in fact we've come to realize the value of our of some of our hobbies like making music once weird for time trade hours by playing together as a family at a local garden parties who fiddlers a guitar and eight penny whistle and will stop there and I'm reading the war on normal people by Andrew being and I'm like zone thanks for listening for th of a fifth of the one D