AFL Fantasy Classic Steemit League Luck Ladder - Round 1

We've all heard the phrase "Just the luck of the draw" thrown around in sporting parlance. It's often used to brush off a bit of bad luck, or even good fortune. But let's take a little bit of a closer look at what that means for us here in the Steemit Classic League.

What I have below is a way to attribute a value to just how lucky (or unlucky) we all are over the course of the season.

So how does it work? At the end of each round, I rank everyone's score in order from highest to lowest, then each score is attributed a Win Value based on the number of teams you potentially could have beaten, for example if you top scored, you would beat 19 out of 19 possible opponents, so you would be credited with 1 win. If you bottom score, you'd beat 0 out of 19, so you would get 0 wins. If you have the 5th highest score, you'd beat 15 out of 19 opponents, so you'd get 15/19ths of a win (0.789). Once each team is allocated their Win Value, we can then compare the Win Value (or statistically probable estimated wins) to the Actual Wins. A score where Actual Wins > Expected Wins is a Lucky Score. A score where Actual Wins < Expected Wins is an Unlucky Score.

So let's look at Round 1

Adro's Assassins top scored, so he gets 1 Expected Win, and Nzl19500 bottomed out so they get 0 Expected Wins. The rest of us fall somewhere in between.

So from Luckiest to Unluckiest....

Just2Random - +0.579
Mmeow - +0.421
Buffalo Bisons - +0.368
Playing For Draft Picks - +0.316
Lockout - +0.263
Hannibal's Leftovers - +0.211
Nige's Cats - +0.158
Medhurst's Minions - +0.105
BraphB - +0.053
Adro's Assassins - EVEN
Nzl19500 - EVEN
I Wear Footy Pyjamas - -0.053
Dblstr - -0.105
Kulate - -0.158
Lions4Life - -0.211
Cunning Stunts - -0.263
Steemit Huskies - -0.316
Piston-Broke - -0.368
Little Old Lady - -0.474
Dahmsey79 - -0.526

So as we can see, Just2Random is the luckiest for the round, having scored a win with a score that would have lost to more than half of the teams in the competition. At the other end of the scale, @dahmsy79 would have beaten more than half of the teams in the comp, but walked away without the points.

So that's the luck of the draw for week 1. I'll update this each week through the course of the season so we can all keep track of how we're travelling...

Cheers,
Sparkesy