Week 2 NFL Tuesday Line Move Notes
Chicago down to 41% of bets line continues to climb -3 -125
Bears are clearly sharper side
Jets down to 77% of bets, line up to pick -115
Not as clear as Bears move but I still make them my second choice based solely on early line moves.
Atlanta still +4.5 with 42% of the bets
This is the most interesting movement on the board to me. Falcons have picked up a small % of the bets and the line is holding at +4.5. Who can be betting the Falcons? I don’t know the answer but it sure feels like they are pretty fucking sharp.
Minnesota line goes from +3 to +2.5 with only 15% of the bets
Minnesota home opener, new stadium etc. Everybody knows the importance of the number 3 in NFL gambling. The Vikings QB situation is very public to the down side. Bradford appears to be starting? I think? Not sure it matters. Hard to fade this line move that appears to be begging for Packers money. I can’t say that I will be backing the Vikings with big money but I will definitely not be playing the Packers in this spot.
Houston only getting 43% line is -2
Texans were bet up to -2.5 but came back. I have no faith in this line in either direction. No key numbers involved. I think this is an excellent opportunity to beef up reverse line movement winning percentage by not playing this game.